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2025 Housing Market Forecast: What to Expect as We Approach the New Year

A Look at Expert Predictions for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices in 2025

As we look ahead to 2025, market experts are offering their predictions for what’s to come in the housing market. Understanding these trends is vital, whether you’re planning to buy or sell a home in the Outer Banks. Let’s break down the key forecasts.

Mortgage Rates Are Expected to Decrease Slightly

Mortgage rates, which have been at multi-decade highs, are projected to decrease in 2025. Experts from the Mortgage Bankers Association and Fannie Mae predict that rates will fall into the range of 5.9% to 6.2% by the end of the year. While this is a modest decline, it could help ease some of the affordability challenges buyers have faced in recent years. A slight reduction in rates means lower monthly payments for buyers, making homes a bit more accessible​Realtor.comNorada Real Estate Investments.

However, it’s important to note that even with this decrease, rates will still be higher than pre-pandemic levels, where they hovered between 3.5% and 5.5%. This means affordability will remain a concern for many, but a lower rate should bring more buyers into the market​Realtor.com.

Home Sales Are Set to Increase

As mortgage rates drop, we can expect to see more homes entering the market, with sales projected to increase in 2025. According to Fannie Mae, the number of homes sold could reach around 5.4 million, up from an estimated 4.5 million in 2024. This increase in activity is expected to be driven by both an improvement in economic conditions and more buyers and sellers returning to the market after being sidelined by high rates​Norada Real Estate Investments.

In the Outer Banks, this could mean more competition for homes, especially in popular vacation and investment property markets. Sellers may find the market more favorable as more buyers re-enter, but it’s important to keep an eye on local trends to understand how national forecasts will impact specific regions.

Home Prices Will Continue to Rise

Despite increasing inventory and more market activity, home prices are expected to continue rising in 2025. Nationally, experts predict a 2.6% to 3.2% increase in home prices​Norada Real Estate InvestmentsThe MortgagePoint –. This moderate growth reflects ongoing demand and the limited housing supply that has plagued many markets over the past few years.

For buyers, this means acting sooner rather than later might be beneficial, as prices are unlikely to drop significantly. On the Outer Banks, where demand for vacation properties remains strong, this upward pressure on prices could be even more pronounced, especially for waterfront and prime location homes.

How to Prepare for 2025

If you’re planning to buy or sell in the Outer Banks next year, it’s crucial to stay informed about both national and local market trends. Mortgage rates will likely dip, but not dramatically, and prices will continue to rise, albeit at a slower pace. Understanding how these changes affect your specific market will help you make the best decisions.

For more details, check out our video on the 2025 housing market forecast, where we dive deeper into how these predictions may impact your real estate goals. And as always, feel free to reach out with any questions—we’re here to help you navigate the changing market with confidence.

Trisha Midgett

Hi, I’m Trisha Midgett, broker-in-charge at Midgett Realty and the lead agent of Trisha Midgett & Team, a top-producing real estate team on the Outer Banks. I’ve been helping buyers, sellers, and investors navigate the Outer Banks real estate market for over 30 years, with a strong focus on Hatteras Island and the surrounding OBX communities. From oceanfront vacation homes to second homes and investment properties, my team and I work across the entire Outer Banks, including Nags Head, Kill Devil Hills, Kitty Hawk, Manteo, Corolla, and Ocracoke. In 2024, our team closed 212 transactions, followed by 181 transactions in 2025, reflecting a consistent track record of results in a unique coastal market. I specialize in second homes, vacation properties, short-term rental and investment real estate, and seller strategy, helping clients understand pricing, rental potential, and long-term value. With decades of experience on the Outer Banks, I bring deep local knowledge of neighborhoods, rental dynamics, and market trends to every transaction. Clients often tell me they appreciate my honest advice, fast communication, strong negotiation skills, and laid-back, easy-to-work-with approach. I’m honored to have earned over 450 five-star reviews on Zillow, 220+ Google reviews, 171 five-star Homes.com reviews, 122 five-star FastExpert reviews, and a 5-star rating on Realtor.com, with verified transaction history publicly displayed. I’ve also been recognized as one of America’s Top 100 Real Estate Agents™ for North Carolina, received HomeLight Top Producer and Top Negotiator Awards, and earned Outer Banks Coastal Life Readers’ Choice Best Real Estate Team honors. Whether you’re buying your first beach cottage, selling a vacation rental, or investing in a second home on Hatteras Island or anywhere on the Outer Banks, my team and I are here to guide you every step of the way and make the process as smooth and successful as possible.

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